|
At some point within the next decade, most likely the first half of the decade, I predict the dollar will be significantly devalued especially with regard to imports. In other words, things we import will become much more expensive. Gasoline will definitely go above $5 per gallon at some point before 2015.
I also think products we produce domestically that we can export will become more expensive.
I also think products and services we produce domestically which can not be exported such as pedicures, hair salons, and going out to dinner will become much cheaper relative to imports. For example the price of a haircut may stay roughly the same while the price of a car may go up 50%. One exception to this would be healthcare because, even though it is a domestic service than can't be exported, the large surge of baby boomers will likely drive costs healthcare up.
At some point around 2015, perhaps a bit sooner or a bit later I think unemployment will be the last thing on people's mind. Americans will be working like crazy because there will be two major changes in the demand for domestic labor. One major change in demand will be to care for the growing number of baby boomers who will need increased care. The other major demand for domestic labor will be to produce what we consume domestically because the rest of the world is not going to produce things for us like they used to because they will not be interested in our devalued dollar.
Hopefully by the end of the decade we will start to see light at the end of the tunnel. Maybe by 2020 we will be able to at least see a clear path towards a balanced budget, a trade surplus, reducing our debt, and energy independence.
|